Wednesday, July 30, 2008

Riding the Pine Team Rankings

Disclaimer
Here are the new and updated Baseball Rankings. Instead of just taking the record, pythagorean record, and farm system, I've given each part a weighed score:
- The Record accounts for half of the score. Since the standings are based of record, I thought it deserved more weight than the other parts.
- The Pythagorean Record is based off of Bill James theory that you can somewhat predict a team by runs scored and runs allowed. The Pythagorean Records accounts for a third of the score.
- The Farm System is worth a sixth of the scoring, since it will impact the team, but maybe not now.
- The Standard Deviation is 3 wins.

All stats and records are prior to games on Wednesday. I'm going to start putting each teams score up; max score is 90 points.

Format


Rankings


Breakdown
The playoff teams based off record:
NL East - Mets
NL Central - Cubs
NL West - Diamondbacks
NL Wild Card - Brewers

AL East - Rays
AL Central - White Sox
AL West - Angels
AL Wild Card - Red Sox

The playoff teams based off run differential:
NL East - Phillies
NL Central - Cubs
NL West - Diamondbacks
NL Wild Card - Mets

AL East - Red Sox
AL Central - White Sox
AL West - Athletics
AL Wild Card - Angels

As of right now, the Cardinals are missing the playoffs in both actual record and Pythagorean record. The last 2 games helped their run differential, but not enough to have both records be equal. Maybe another big night from the offense can knock off another loss from the run differential.

[To figure the pythagorean record, ask me in the comments or use this formula:
(RS^2)/(RS^2 + RA^2)]

I'll be back next Tuesday with the updated rankings.

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